A04
Biases and Decision Impairments in Markets
Discussion Papers

Discussion Paper No. 83
November 4, 2021

Blaming the Refugees? Experimental Evidence on Responsibility Attribution

Author:

Felix Klimm (LMU Munich)
Stefan Grimm (LMU Munich)

Abstract:

Do people blame refugees for negative events? We propose a novel experimental paradigm to measure discrimination in responsibility attribution towards Arabic refugees. Participants in the laboratory experience a positive or negative income shock, which is with equal probability caused by a random draw or another participant's performance in a real effort task. Responsibility attribution is measured by beliefs about whether the shock is due to the other participant's performance or the random draw. We find evidence for reverse discrimination: Natives attribute responsibility more favorably to refugees than to other natives. In particular, refugees are less often held responsible for negative income shocks. Moreover, natives with negative implicit associations towards Arabic names attribute responsibility less favorably to refugees than natives with positive associations. Since neither actual performance differences nor beliefs about natives' and refugees' performance can explain our finding of reverse discrimination, we rule out statistical discrimination as the driving force. We discuss explanations based on theories of self-image and identity concerns.

Keywords:

refugees; discrimination; responsibility attribution;

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Discussion Paper No. 82

Suspicious Success - Cheating, Inequality, Acceptance, and Political Preferences

Author:

Felix Klimm (LMU Munich)

Abstract:

Supporters of left-wing parties typically place more emphasis on redistributive policies than right-wing voters. I investigate whether this difference in tolerating inequality is amplified by suspicious success - achievements that may arise from cheating. Using a laboratory experiment, I exogenously vary cheating opportunities for stakeholders who work on a real effort task and earn money according to their self-reported performances. An impartial spectator is able to redistribute the earnings between the stakeholders, although it is not possible to detect cheating. I find that the opportunity to cheat leads to different views on whether to accept inequality. Left-wing spectators substantially reduce inequality when cheating is possible, while the treatment has no significant effect on choices of right-wing spectators. Since neither differences in beliefs nor differences in norms about cheating can explain this finding, it seems to be driven by a difference in preferences. These results suggest that redistributive preferences will diverge even more once public awareness increases that inequality may be to a certain extent created by cheating.

Keywords:

cheating; inequality; fairness; political preferences; redistribution;

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Discussion Paper No. 81

Unleashing Animal Spirits - Self-Control and Overpricing in Experimental Asset Markets

Author:

Martin Kocher (University of Vienna)
Konstantin Lucks (LMU Munich)
David Schindler (Tilburg University)

Abstract:

One explanation for overpricing on asset markets is a lack of traders' self-control. Self-control is the individual capacity to override or inhibit undesired impulses that may drive prices. We implement the first experiment to address the causal relationship between self-control abilities and systematic overpricing on financial markets. Our setup can detect some of the channels through which individual self-control restrictions could transmit into irrational exuberance in markets. Our data indicate a large direct effect of restricted self-control abilities on market overpricing. Low self-control traders report stronger emotions after the market.

Keywords:

G02; G11; G12; D53; D84;

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Discussion Paper No. 80

Does Having Insurance Change Individuals Self-Confidence

Author:

Raphael Guber (Munich Center for the Economics of Aging)
Martin Kocher (University of Vienna)
Joachim Winter (LMU Munich)

Abstract:

Recent research in contract theory on the effects of behavioral biases implicitly assumes that they are stable, in the sense of not being affected by the contracts themselves. In this paper, we provide evidence that this is not necessarily the case. We show that in an insurance context, being insured against losses that may be incurred in a real-effort task changes subjects' self-confidence. Our novel experimental design allows us to disentangle selection into insurance from the effects of being insured by randomly assigning coverage after subjects revealed whether they want to be insured or not. We find that uninsured subjects are underconfident while those that obtain insurance have well-calibrated beliefs. Our results suggest that there might be another mechanism through which insurance affects behavior than just moral hazard.

Keywords:

D84; D82; C91;

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Discussion Paper No. 71

The Effect of Incentives in Non-Routine Analytical Team Tasks - Evidence From a Field Experiment

Author:

Florian Englmaier (LMU Munich)
Stefan Grimm (LMU Munich)
David Schindler (Tilburg University)
Simeon Schudy (LMU Munich)

Abstract:

Despite the prevalence of non-routine analytical team tasks in modern economies, little is known about how incentives influence performance in these tasks. In a field experiment with more than 3000 participants, we document a positive effect of bonus incentives on the probability of completion of such a task. Bonus incentives increase performance due to the reward rather than the reference point (performance threshold) they provide. The framing of bonuses (as gains or losses) plays a minor role. Incentives improve performance also in an additional sample of presumably less motivated workers. However, incentives reduce these workers' willingness to "explore" original solutions.

Keywords:

team work; bonus; incentives; loss; gain; non-routine; exploration;

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Discussion Paper No. 60

Does a Short-Term Increase in Incentives Boost Performance?

Author:

Vera Angelova (TU Berlin)
Thomas Giebe (Linnaeus University)
Radosveta Ivanova-Stenzel (TU Berlin)

Abstract:

If agents are exposed to continual competitive pressure, how does a short-term variation of the severity of the competition affect agents' performance? In a real-effort laboratory experiment, we study a one-time increase in incentives in a sequence of equally incentivized contests. Our results suggest that a short-term increase in incentives induces a behavioral response but does not boost total performance.

Keywords:

contest; tournament; real-effort; experiment; contract theory; forward-looking;

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Discussion Paper No. 32
November 3, 2021

Deterministic Mechanisms, the Revelation Principle, and Ex-Post Constraints

Author:

Vincent Meisner (TU Berlin)
Felix Jarman (University of Mannheim)

Abstract:

This note establishes a revelation principle in terms of payoff for deterministic mech- anisms under ex-post constraints: the maximal payoff implementable by a feasible deterministic mechanism can also be implemented by a feasible deterministic direct mechanism.

Keywords:

mechanism design; revelation principle; ex-post contraints;

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Discussion Paper No. 27

Ex-Post Optimal Knapsack Procurement

Author:

Vincent Meisner (TU Berlin)
Felix Jarman (German Ministry of Finance)

Abstract:

We consider a budget-constrained mechanism designer who selects an optimal set of projects to maximize her utility. Projects may differ in their value for the designer, and their cost is private information. In this allocation problem, the quantity of procured projects is endogenously determined by the mechanism. The designer faces ex-post constraints: The participation and budget constraints must hold for each possible outcome, while the mechanism must be strategy proof. We identify settings in which the class of optimal mechanisms has a deferred acceptance auction representation which allows an implementation with a descending-clock auction. Only in the case of symmetric projects do price clocks descend synchronously such that the cheapest projects are implemented. The case in which values or costs are asymmetrically distributed features a novel tradeoff between quantity and quality. The reason is that guaranteeing allocation to the most favorable projects under strategy proofness comes at the cost of a diminished expected number of conducted projects.

Keywords:

mechanism design; knapsack; budget; procurement; auction; deferred acceptance auctions;

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Discussion Paper No. 26

Can a Bonus Overcome Moral Hazard? An Experiment on Voluntary Payments, Competition, and Reputation in Markets for Expert Services

Author:

Vera Angelova (TU Berlin)
Tobias Regner (Friedrich Schiller University Jena)

Abstract:

Interactions between players with private information and opposed interests are often prone to bad advice and inefficient outcomes, e.g. markets for financial or health care services. In a deception game we investigate experimentally which factors could improve advice quality. Besides advisor competition and identifiability we add the possibility for clients to make a voluntary payment, a bonus, after observing advice quality. We observe a positive effect on the rate of truthful advice when the bonus creates multiple opportunities to reciprocate, that is, when the bonus is combined with identifiability (leading to several client-advisor interactions over the course of the game) or competition (allowing one advisor to have several clients who may reciprocate within one period).

Keywords:

asymmetric information; principal-agent; expert services; deception game; sender-receiver game; reciprocity; reputation; experiments; voluntary payment; competition;

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Discussion Paper No. 20

The Employment Effects of Countercyclical Infrastructure Investments

Author:

Lukas Buchheim (LMU Munich)
Martin Watzinger (LMU Munich)

Abstract:

We estimate the causal impact of a sizable German infrastructure investment program on employment at the county level. The program focused on improving the energy efficiency of school buildings, making it possible to use the number of schools as an instrument for investments. We find that the program was effective, creating one job for one year for each €25’000 of investments. The employment gains reached their peak after nine months and dropped to zero quickly after the program’s completion. The reductions in unemployment amounted to two-thirds of the job creation, and employment grew predominately in the construction and non-tradable industries.

Keywords:

infrastructure investments; job creation; employment dynamics; countercyclical fiscal policy;

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