A04
Biases and Decision Impairments in Markets
Discussion Papers

Discussion Paper No. 134
November 8, 2021

Competition and Fatigue at Work

Author:

Vera Angelova (TU Berlin)
Thomas Giebe (Linnaeus University)
Radosveta Ivanova-Stenzel (TU Berlin)

Abstract:

We study theoretically and experimentally the role of fatigue and recovery within a competitive work environment. At work, agents usually make their effort choice in response to competition and monetary incentives. At the same time, they have to take into account fatigue, which accumulates over time if there is insufficient recovery. We model a sequence of work periods as tournaments that are linked through fatigue spillovers, inducing a non-time-separable decision problem. We also allow for variations in incentives in one work period, in order to analyze spillover effects to the work periods "before" and "after". Making recovery harder should, generally, reduce effort. This theoretical prediction is supported by the experimental data. A short-term increase in incentives in one period should lead to higher effort in that period, and, due to fatigue, to strategic resting before and after. Our experimental results confirm the former, whereas we do not find sufficient evidence for the latter. Even in the presence of fatigue, total effort should positively respond to higher-powered incentives. This is not supported by our data. Removing fatigue, we find the expected increase in total effort. For work environments, this may imply that the link between monetary incentives and effort provision becomes weaker in the presence of fatigue or insufficient recovery between work periods.

Keywords:

fatigue; recovery; incentives; experiment; tournament;

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Discussion Paper No. 119
November 5, 2021

Show What You Risk - Norms for Risk Taking

Author:

Stefan Grimm (LMU Munich)

Abstract:

Most economic decisions are embedded in a specific social context. In many such contexts, individual choices are influenced by their observability due to underlying social norms and social image concerns. This study investigates the impact of choices being observed, compared to anonymity of choices, on risk taking in a laboratory experiment. I relate participants' investments in a risky asset directly to social norms for risk taking that are elicited in an incentivized procedure. I find that risk taking is not affected by the choice being observed by a matched participant. Nor do investments follow elicited norms for risk taking more closely when observed. This holds when considering males and females separately. However, I provide strong evidence for gender-specific norms in risk taking. While these explain part of the existing gender gap in risk taking, males still "overshoot" by investing more than the norm dictates. This is particularly true for males being matched with a female participant.

Keywords:

risk taking; observability; social image; norms; gender;

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Discussion Paper No. 115

Seasonal Scarcity and Sharing Norms

Author:

Vojtech Bartos (LMU Munich)

Abstract:

How does scarcity affect individual willingness to share and willingness to enforce sharing from others? Sharing in poor communities gains importance as an insurance mechanism during adverse shocks, yet shocks make it costlier to share. I conducted repeated economic experiments in both a lean and a relatively plentiful post-harvest season with the same group of Afghan subsistence farmers experiencing annual seasonal scarcities. I separate altruistic motives from enforcement effects using dictator and third party punishment games. While altruistic sharing remains temporally stable, the enforcement of sharing weakens substantially in times of scarcity. Temporal norms fluctuations seem to drive the results.

Keywords:

afghanistan; scarcity; seasonality; sharing; social norms;

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Discussion Paper No. 108

Effects of Poverty on Impatience

Author:

Vojtech Bartos (LMU Munich)
Michael Bauer (CERGE-EI, Institute of Economic Studies)
Julie Chytivola (Institute of Economic Studies)
Ian Levely (Wageningen University)

Abstract:

We study two psychological channels how poverty may increase impatient behavior -- an effect on time preference and reduced attention. We measured discount rates among Ugandan farmers who made decisions about when to enjoy entertainment instead of working. We find that experimentally induced thoughts about poverty-related problems increase the preference to consume entertainment early and delay work. The effect is equivalent to a 27 p.p. increase in the intertemporal rate of substitution. Using monitoring tools similar to eye tracking, a novel feature for this subject pool, we show this effect is not due to a lower ability to sustain attention.

Keywords:

poverty; scarcity; time discounting; inattention; decision-making process; preferences;

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Discussion Paper No. 107

Sanctioning and Trustworthiness Across Ethnic Groups

Author:

Vojtech Bartos (LMU Munich)
Ian Levely (Wageningen University)

Abstract:

We show how sanctioning is more effective in increasing cooperation between groups than within groups. We study this using a trust game among ethnically diverse subjects in Afghanistan. In the experiment, we manipulate i) sanctioning and ii) ethnic identity. We find that sanctioning increases trustworthiness in cross-ethnic interactions, but not when applied by a co-ethnic. While we find higher in-group trustworthiness in the absence of sanctioning, the availability and use of the sanction closes this gap. This has important implications for understanding the effect of institutions in developing societies where ethnic identity is salient. Our results suggest that formal institutions for enforcing cooperation are more effective when applied between, rather than within, ethnic groups, due to behavioral differences in how individuals respond to sanctions.

Keywords:

sanctions; cooperation; crowding out; moral incentives; ethnicity; afghanistan;

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Discussion Paper No. 97
November 4, 2021

How Do Sellers Benefit From Buy-It-Now Prices in Ebay Auctions? - an Experiment Investigation

Author:

Tim Grebe ()
Radosveta Ivanova-Stenzel (TU Berlin)
Sabine Kröger (Laval University)

Abstract:

In Buy-It-Now (BIN, hereafter) auctions, sellers can make a "take-it-or-leave-it" price offer (BIN price) prior to an auction. We analyse experimentally how eBay sellers set BIN prices and whether they benefit from offering them. Using the real eBay environment in the laboratory, we find that the eBay auction format supports deviations from truthful bidding leading to auction prices substantially below those expected in second-price auctions. Our results reveal that the observed price deviations are not an artefact due to the existence of the BIN price, rather a consequence of the specific features of the eBay-auction format - a mixture between sealed-bid and open second-price auction with a fixed end-time. Moreover, we find that information available on eBay can be used as indicator for the price deviation and that sellers respond strategically to this information. Seller risk aversion does not affect BIN prices and more experienced sellers ask for higher BIN prices. The introduction of BIN prices to eBay auctions has an enhancing effect: the eBay BIN auction is more efficient and generates significantly higher revenue compared to a standard eBay auction without a BIN price.

Keywords:

experience; online markets; ebay; bin price; private value; experiment;

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Discussion Paper No. 84

Risk, Time Pressure, and Selection Effects

Author:

Martin Kocher (University of Vienna)
David Schindler (Tilburg University)
Stefan Trautmann (University of Heidelberg)
Yilong Xu (University of Heidelberg)

Abstract:

Time pressure is a central aspect of economic decision making nowadays. It is therefore natural to ask how time pressure affects decisions, and how to detect individual heterogeneity in the ability to successfully cope with time pressure. In the context of risky decisions, we ask whether a person's performance under time pressure can be predicted by measurable behavior and traits, and whether such measurement itself may be affected by selection issues. We find that the ability to cope with time pressure varies significantly across decision makers, leading to selected subgroups that differ in terms of their observed behaviors and personal traits. Moreover, measures of cognitive ability and intellectual efficiency jointly predict individuals' decision quality and ability to keep their decision strategy under time pressure.

Keywords:

risk; cognitive ability; selection; time pressure;

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Discussion Paper No. 83

Blaming the Refugees? Experimental Evidence on Responsibility Attribution

Author:

Felix Klimm (LMU Munich)
Stefan Grimm (LMU Munich)

Abstract:

Do people blame refugees for negative events? We propose a novel experimental paradigm to measure discrimination in responsibility attribution towards Arabic refugees. Participants in the laboratory experience a positive or negative income shock, which is with equal probability caused by a random draw or another participant's performance in a real effort task. Responsibility attribution is measured by beliefs about whether the shock is due to the other participant's performance or the random draw. We find evidence for reverse discrimination: Natives attribute responsibility more favorably to refugees than to other natives. In particular, refugees are less often held responsible for negative income shocks. Moreover, natives with negative implicit associations towards Arabic names attribute responsibility less favorably to refugees than natives with positive associations. Since neither actual performance differences nor beliefs about natives' and refugees' performance can explain our finding of reverse discrimination, we rule out statistical discrimination as the driving force. We discuss explanations based on theories of self-image and identity concerns.

Keywords:

refugees; discrimination; responsibility attribution;

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Discussion Paper No. 82

Suspicious Success - Cheating, Inequality, Acceptance, and Political Preferences

Author:

Felix Klimm (LMU Munich)

Abstract:

Supporters of left-wing parties typically place more emphasis on redistributive policies than right-wing voters. I investigate whether this difference in tolerating inequality is amplified by suspicious success - achievements that may arise from cheating. Using a laboratory experiment, I exogenously vary cheating opportunities for stakeholders who work on a real effort task and earn money according to their self-reported performances. An impartial spectator is able to redistribute the earnings between the stakeholders, although it is not possible to detect cheating. I find that the opportunity to cheat leads to different views on whether to accept inequality. Left-wing spectators substantially reduce inequality when cheating is possible, while the treatment has no significant effect on choices of right-wing spectators. Since neither differences in beliefs nor differences in norms about cheating can explain this finding, it seems to be driven by a difference in preferences. These results suggest that redistributive preferences will diverge even more once public awareness increases that inequality may be to a certain extent created by cheating.

Keywords:

cheating; inequality; fairness; political preferences; redistribution;

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Discussion Paper No. 81

Unleashing Animal Spirits - Self-Control and Overpricing in Experimental Asset Markets

Author:

Martin Kocher (University of Vienna)
Konstantin Lucks (LMU Munich)
David Schindler (Tilburg University)

Abstract:

One explanation for overpricing on asset markets is a lack of traders' self-control. Self-control is the individual capacity to override or inhibit undesired impulses that may drive prices. We implement the first experiment to address the causal relationship between self-control abilities and systematic overpricing on financial markets. Our setup can detect some of the channels through which individual self-control restrictions could transmit into irrational exuberance in markets. Our data indicate a large direct effect of restricted self-control abilities on market overpricing. Low self-control traders report stronger emotions after the market.

Keywords:

G02; G11; G12; D53; D84;

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